The gap, priced to the rule
A capture rate is the share of deaths a book catches, the figure that holds up under examination. A match rate can read high while a real death goes unfound. Set your program and your book, and the instrument prices what the gap leaves open.
Illustrative model·Synthetic data, no real records
The shortfall
A high match rate and the liability it leaves open.
03The exposure
Mortality basisNCHS 2024 · Data Brief 548
▲ nowceiling ▲
Mortality gap
Address gap
Counts are expected annual values across the whole book, not events in any single year. A figure below one means the modeled event happens less than once a year on average.
| Input | Value | Source | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scope | The illustrative inputs are set to a book in an engagement. | ||
Every figure traced to its dated source·Same inputs reproduce the same figure
Each figure traced to a curated rule pack.
The matching engine is deterministic and statistical. It is not a language model. Each rule pack is practitioner-validated against the source regulation.
Regulatory basis
The sources